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- Posted: 7 years ago
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Post #301
I am not defending him. And who says he is 2-7? He could be 8-10. This is why I told you that we need to have the 8-10's claim if only one person claims to be 8-10 then we start voting out the other three.
Worst case scenario just knowing the pawns
Start (9-3)
Lynch Villager (8-3)
Mafia Kill (7-3)
Lynch Villager (6-3)
Mafia Kill (5-3)
Lynch Villager (4-3)
Mafia Kill (3-3)
Lynch Mafia (3-2)
Mafia Kill (2-2)
Lynch Mafia (2-1)
Mafia Kill (1-1)
Lynch Mafia (1-0)
Village wins!
Mathematically I do not see how it is possible with 6 known pawns to not win the game. Having the Doc and Inspector for a few rounds skews this even more so in the villages favor.
We have already killed a mafia, so current case now just knowing the pawns is:
Start (9-3)
Lynch Mafia (9-2)
Mafia Kill (8-2)
Lynch Villager (7-2)
Mafia Kill (6-2)
Lynch Villager (5-2)
Mafia Kill (4-2)
Lynch Mafia (4-1)
Mafia Kill (3-1)
Lynch Mafia (3-0)
Village wins!
See...we do not need to know anything beyond the 6 pawns (why I think numbering them was a bad idea). Of course this doesn't include the Sheriff shooting a villager, but we will pretend they are smarter than that.
Worst case scenario just knowing the pawns
Start (9-3)
Lynch Villager (8-3)
Mafia Kill (7-3)
Lynch Villager (6-3)
Mafia Kill (5-3)
Lynch Villager (4-3)
Mafia Kill (3-3)
Lynch Mafia (3-2)
Mafia Kill (2-2)
Lynch Mafia (2-1)
Mafia Kill (1-1)
Lynch Mafia (1-0)
Village wins!
Mathematically I do not see how it is possible with 6 known pawns to not win the game. Having the Doc and Inspector for a few rounds skews this even more so in the villages favor.
We have already killed a mafia, so current case now just knowing the pawns is:
Start (9-3)
Lynch Mafia (9-2)
Mafia Kill (8-2)
Lynch Villager (7-2)
Mafia Kill (6-2)
Lynch Villager (5-2)
Mafia Kill (4-2)
Lynch Mafia (4-1)
Mafia Kill (3-1)
Lynch Mafia (3-0)
Village wins!
See...we do not need to know anything beyond the 6 pawns (why I think numbering them was a bad idea). Of course this doesn't include the Sheriff shooting a villager, but we will pretend they are smarter than that.